C4I & Cyber Seminar Series: Simulation-Based Air Mission Plans Evaluation

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Presented by: 1st Lt André N. Costa (FAB)

Visiting Graduate Student, Volgenau Engineering School
George Mason University

This seminar will address some of our research efforts on how to approach the problem of enhancing a system’s response by using simulation to predict the adversarial reactions to different inputs, and focuses on the handling of uncertainty in behavioral models running in physics-grounded simulations as a means of properly assessing the responses. As part of this research, the work discussed in this seminar proposes the use of high-resolution simulation to evaluate the survivability and the mission accomplishment rates of an attacking aircraft during an incursion. However, differently from purely scripted simulation that employs rule-based agents and pre- defined routes and behaviors for blue and red forces, our developed system prototype relies on a Bayesian threat assessment and response methodology. Our goal is to represent the enemy’s decision process, while being able to predict the mission outcomes and to indicate what the regions of higher vulnerability are. Finally, the opposing air defense system is represented through a Petri Net model that aims to analyze and calibrate its response time in case of an airborne threat.

Speaker Information:
First Lieutenant André N. Costa is a Brazilian Air Force Officer working with the Institute of Advanced Studies (IEAv) in São José dos Campos, Brazil. His research group in IEAv’s Decision Support Systems Subdivision aims to providing effective methods for air operations planning. André is currently a visiting scholar at Mason’s C4I & Cyber Center where he develops his research in combat simulation, mostly aiming to increase the complexity of the agents within it. He received his B.S. in Mechanical Aeronautical Engineering from the Technological Institute of Aeronautics (ITA). Before that, he has participated on projects at MIT (Product Development Engineering and Robotics) and Purdue (Thermodynamics), and has worked in the Systems Engineering Department of Raytheon Missile Systems in Tucson, AZ.

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1:00 pm - 2:00 pm

C4I Center ENGR 4705