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  • Plenary Talk

    • Plenary Talk 2 - Bayesian Search for Missing Aircraft

    July 08, 2015 8:30 AM - July 08, 2015 9:30 AM

    Independence A

    Bayesian search theory provides a disciplined method for planning searches for lost objects. The Bayesian approach was successfully applied in the 2009 search for the wreckage of Air France flight 447, which was discovered at the bottom of the Atlantic Ocean in 2011. This talk will describe the Bayesian approach and previous applications to searches, leading up to the analysis that solved the mystery of AF447. The talk finishes with a discussion of the current search for Malaysian Air flight MH370 in the Indian Ocean, describing what is known and how the Bayesian approach could be used to guide search efforts.