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  • Plenary Talk

    • Plenary Talk 3 - Integrative GEOINT Foresight: Fusion of Transdisciplinary Expertise via Visual Analytics, Models, and Collaborative Computing

    July 09, 2015 8:30 AM - July 09, 2015 9:30 AM

    Independence A

    Our world is full of “wicked problems” – so called not because they are evil but because of their mind-boggling complexity. These problems are difficult to understand, and even more difficult – if not impossible – to solve. Climate change is one of the wicked problems we face today: its effects on global landscapes and human welfare create exceptional complexities for planners, policy makers, and decision makers. Droughts, floods, increased temperature, and other effects associated with climate change can limit resources and intensify conflicts to control them. This can create a domino effect starting with geo-physical changes and resulting in social and political effects such as migration, disease outbreak, and political instability. Each of these outcomes could have significant impacts on our national security. Anticipating the impacts of climate change on national security was recently identified as a top priority by the U.S. Department of Defense (DoD). Last year, the DoD published the “2014 Climate Change Adaptation Roadmap,” which states, “Rising global temperatures, changing precipitation patterns, and more extreme weather events will intensify the challenges of global instability, hunger, poverty, and conflict.” In this talk, we introduce and explore the transdisciplinary fusion challenges associated with a new GEOINT research partnership called the Foresight Initiative. This research effort examines the integrative nature of geospatial, temporal, contextual, and visual reasoning data. The goal of the project is to create a suite of decision-making modules and interactive, anticipatory analytic processes that policy makers can use to understand, anticipate, and mitigate national security risks associated with climate change, with a focus on water-energy-food nexus. The capabilities we develop will include processing modules for advanced data analysis, simulation, and visualization. “Foresight represents a new way of thinking,” says Nadya Bliss, the initiative’s Principal Investigator. “It’s about a new way of thinking about problems, new ways of engaging multiple disciplines, and new ways of engaging multiple agencies.” The Foresight Initiative (https://foresight.asu.edu/) is supported by a $20 million, five-year cooperative agreement from the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency (NGA) and represents a partnership between NGA; Arizona State University; and the Argonne, Oak Ridge, and Pacific Northwest National Laboratories.